Monday, January 25, 2010

Homebuilders Turn to Private Equity for Financing

Bloomberg




More than 40 U.S. homebuilders have teamed up with private equity firms to acquire and complete unfinished subdivisions as banks cut construction lending.

The investments will pay off for the builders and their investors if the prices are low enough and the locations are in areas where demand is recovering, said Megan McGrath, a home building industry analyst at Barclays Capital Inc. in New York.

“I’ve been getting the question: Why aren’t housing starts at zero?” McGrath asked. “The answer is, they’re probably as close to zero as they’re going to get and in some cases it still makes sense to build.”

Managers of at least 22 funds raised $12 billion in 2009 for development projects and other residential real estate deals, Bloomberg BusinessWeek magazine reports in its Feb. 1 issue, citing data compiled by Bloomberg, Institutional Real Estate Inc. of San Ramon, California, and Real Estate Alert, an industry newsletter in Hoboken, New Jersey. Those firms have invested with at least 42 builders, the data show.

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc., the nation’s seventh-largest homebuilder by revenue, last year announced joint ventures with two New York-based private equity firms, in which the investors provided at least 80 percent of the money for the developments. GoldenTree Asset Management and Hovnanian are working on 11 projects around Chicago and Palm Beach, Florida, while Angelo Gordon & Co., with $21 billion under management, teamed up for other projects in Florida.

“For every one that we’re doing business with, there are 10 more that we’re talking to,” Ara K. Hovnanian, chief executive officer of the Red Bank, New Jersey, homebuilder, said at a Nov. 17 conference in New York organized by UBS AG.

Building Permits

Home building permits climbed to 653,000 in December, the most since October 2008 and a sign of optimism about demand, the Commerce Department reported yesterday.

Steve McGee, principal of investment firm Developers Financial Solutions Inc. in Rancho Santa Fe, California, said he interviewed 30 builders at this week’s National Association of Home Builders convention in Las Vegas and found six viable partners, whom he declined to name.

“We saw an opportunity to provide financing at this stage of the recovery,” said McGee, whose firm has more than $1 billion to invest in residential and commercial real estate and Atlantic Beach vacation homes.

Slowing Bank Loans

The private equity firms are a new source of funding for the homebuilding industry, which has traditionally relied on bank loans and bond sales. Banks slashed lending to homebuilders because regulators pressured them to reduce real estate assets as defaults on construction loans climbed, said Robert Seiwert, vice president of the American Bankers Association.

“What got us into this situation was people making loans that shouldn’t have happened,” Seiwert said in a telephone interview from the organization’s headquarters in Washington.

Outstanding bank loans for land and new development sank to $113 billion in the quarter ending Sept. 30, down 44 percent from a peak of $203 billion in June 2008, according to Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. data. Loans for all construction and development fell to $492.2 billion from a peak of $629.5 billion in June 2008, the FDIC said Nov. 24.

The supply of new homes on the market rose to 7.9 months in November, compared with the five-year average of 7.2 months, according to the Commerce Department. With unemployment and foreclosures still at quarter-century highs, demand could remain weak for a while, especially with federal tax incentives for home buyers set to phase out in April.

Confidence Drop

Confidence among homebuilders fell this month to the lowest level since June, as traffic hit a 10-month nadir, the National Association of Home Builders said Jan. 19.

U.S. sales of new homes fell to an annual pace of 355,000 in November, down 11 percent from October, the Commerce Department reported Dec. 23. Homebuilders have seen orders and revenue decline since 2005, when 1.28 million new homes sold, according to the Census Bureau.

Grosvenor Investment Management of Philadelphia and KeyBank Real Estate Capital Residential Investment Partners, which raised $100 million in 2007, took almost two years to make their first investment, said John Hay, manager of the fund for KeyBank Real Estate Capital Markets, a private equity unit of Cleveland- based KeyBank NA.

‘Very Challenging’


The managers wanted to buy ready-to-build lots for about 20 cents on the dollar. They wouldn’t invest in markets such as Las Vegas, South Florida, or Southern California. So far, the fund has entered five deals totaling about $30 million each for subdivisions outside Atlanta, Denver, Philadelphia, Portland, Oregon, and Raleigh real estate in North Carolina.

“This investing, while it’s ahead of the game, is still very, very challenging,” Hay said.

Reuben S. Leibowitz, managing director of JEN Partners LLC, a New York-based private equity fund, said he invested $50 million in 2009 for land and construction partnerships in Southern California and Arizona, where he believes the buyers are coming back.

In May, Leibowitz bought Canta Mia, a 600-home “active- adult” community outside of Phoenix that caters to retirees. The original developer, Tousa Inc., filed for bankruptcy and Leibowitz acquired the project -- complete with model homes -- for less than the cost of improvements, such as roads and waterlines. He expects to get his money back in four to seven years, although he doesn’t think there are many other good deals out there. “There won’t be many people who are successful” at bottom-fishing in this market, he said.

At least one private equity fund has pulled up stakes. Rockpoint Group, a Boston investment firm, raised $470 million for a residential real estate fund from investors including a $270 million commitment from the California State Teachers Retirement System. In August, Rockpoint suspended the fund, returning the money to investors, after it failed to find enough workable deals.

Friday, January 22, 2010

30-Year Loans Now Below 5%

The Washington Post


Rates for 30-year home loans fell below 5 percent this week but remained above last month's record lows.

The average rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage was 4.99 percent, down from 5.06 percent a week earlier, mortgage company Freddie Mac said Thursday.

It was the third straight weekly decline. The drop comes after interest rates fell in the bond market this week as concerns about the economy increased demand for the safety of government debt, which is closely tied to mortgage rates.

The average rate on 15-year, fixed-rate mortgages fell to 4.4 percent, down from 4.45 percent last week, according to Freddie Mac.

Rates on five-year, adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 4.27 percent, down from 4.32 percent a week earlier. Rates on one-year, adjustable-rate mortgages dropped to 4.32 percent from 4.39 percent.

Borrowers can lower their interest rates by buying points, equal to 1 percent of the total loan amount. The nationwide averages in Freddie Mac's survey were 0.7 points for 30-year loans and 0.6 points for 15-year, five-year and one-year loans.

Falling mortgage rates might help bolster the nation's housing market as borrowing becomes less expensive for consumers. The decline in home-loan rates boosted the number of mortgage applications by more than 9 percent last week, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association.

The Mortgage Bankers Association's index of applications to purchase a home or refinance a mortgage rose 9.1 percent in the week ended Jan. 15, led by a surge in refinancing. The group's refinancing gauge gained 11 percent, while the purchase index advanced 4.4 percent.

Thursday, January 14, 2010

After Months Of Declines, Foreclosures Jump In December

USA Today



Foreclosure filings increased 14% in December from November, the first monthly increase since foreclosure activity peaked in July, according to a RealtyTrac report out Thursday.

Foreclosure filings were reported on 349,519 properties in December, which were also 15% higher than in December 2008, RealtyTrac said.

"It's somewhat startling to see these kind of numbers," says Brian Bethune at IHS Global Insight. "There are a few areas that are improving. New York has had no further deterioration. But the problem states, like Florida, California and Arizona, are still suffering."

After peaking at more than 361,000 homes in July, foreclosure filings had been falling because of trial loan modifications, state legislation extending the foreclosure process and a large volume of homes in the foreclosure pipeline, RealtyTrac CEO James Saccacio said in a statement.

Foreclosure activity in the fourth quarter decreased 7% from the third quarter, although it was still up 18% from the fourth quarter of 2008.

And after four consecutive month-over-month declines in California, foreclosure activity there in December increased nearly 9% from November. California's fourth-quarter foreclosure activity was still down 17% from the third quarter.

About 2.4 million homes are expected to be lost through foreclosure, auction and other means in 2010, according to Moody's Economy.com. That's despite the Obama administration's efforts to get banks to rework strapped borrowers' home loans into lower monthly payments. The goal is to prevent foreclosures by providing homeowners with more-affordable mortgages.

As of early December, more than 700,000 homeowners had received trial modifications. The Treasury Department will release updated numbers on Friday. "The foreclosure crisis continues on. I don't see any stabilization," says Mark Zandi at Moody's Economy.com. "The foreclosure crisis is in full swing, and the (mortgage) modification efforts aren't working that well."

The ongoing foreclosure crisis, he says, will continue to lead to falling home prices in spring and summer.

Filings were reported on 2.8 million properties in 2009, a 21% increase in total properties from 2008 and up 120% from 2007, according to RealtyTrac.

Some states did see foreclosure numbers continue to decline. In North Carolina, holders of Raleigh real estate saw a further decline in bank foreclosures, with a drop of 16.1% over 2008.

Foreclosure filings could ease as more banks agree to short sales, allowing delinquent homeowners to sell homes for less than the balance of their mortgage. The Obama administration is attempting to encourage short sales.

"We should also see more short sales, because lenders are becoming more comfortable with it, and it costs them less" than a foreclosure, Zandi says.


Foreclosure filings reached a record high in
2009, touching one of every 45 homes, according to RealtyTrac.

State

Total properties w/ filings

Change from 2008

California

632,573

20.8%

Florida

516,711

34.1%

Arizona

163,210

39.6%

Illinois

131,132

31.8%

Michigan

118,302

11.5%

Nevada

112,097

44.3%

Georgia

106,110

24.5%

Ohio

101,614

-10.5%

Texas

100,045

4.0%

New Jersey

63,208

1.1%

Virginia

52,127

6.4%

Colorado

50,514

0.2%

New York

50,369

0.7%

Pennsylvania

44,732

20.2%

Maryland

43,248

33.7%

Indiana

41,405

-9.9%

Tennessee

40,733

-7.8%

Massachusetts

36,119

-18.5%

Washington

35,268

35.3%

Wisconsin

35,252

79.0%

Oregon

34,121

89.6%

Minnesota

31,697

56.3%

Missouri

28,519

-8.8%

North Carolina

28,384

-16.1%

Utah

27,140

82.9%

South Carolina

25,163

67.8%

Alabama

19,896

156.3%

Connecticut

19,679

-10.2%

Idaho

17,161

101.6%

Arkansas

16,547

15.9%

Oklahoma

12,937

3.8%

Louisiana

11,750

64.8%

Kentucky

9,682

33.7%

Kansas

9,056

45.6%

Hawaii

9,002

182.6%

New Mexico

7,212

93.5%

New Hampshire

7,210

8.7%

Iowa

5,681

5.5%

Mississippi

5,402

135.6%

Rhode Island

5,065

-23.1%

District of Columbia

3,235

-22.6%

Maine

3,178

11.5%

Delaware

3,034

20.6%

Alaska

2,442

25.5%

Nebraska

1,845

-42.2%

West Virginia

1,479

115.9%

Montana

1,373

10.2%

South Dakota

765

90.3%

Wyoming

717

5.9%

North Dakota

390

5.1%

Vermont

143

4.4%

U.S. total

2.8 million

21.2%

Source: RealtyTrac